Jaeger Lecture

We are pleased to announce that IASMiRT and SMiRT 25 have selected Dr. Robert J. Budnitz to deliver the prestigious Jaeger Lecture

Dr. Robert J. Budnitz (Retired Staff Scientist at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory) has been involved with nuclear-reactor safety and radioactive-waste safety for many years.  He is a member of the National Academy of Engineering.  He recently retired (spring 2017) from the scientific staff at the University of California's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.  From 2002 to 2007 he was at UC’s Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, during which period he worked on a two-year special assignment (late 2002 to late 2004) in Washington to assist the Director of DOE's Yucca Mountain Project to develop a new Science & Technology Program.  Prior to joining LLNL in 2002, he ran a one-person consulting practice in Berkeley CA for over two decades.  In 1978-1980, he was a senior officer at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, serving as Deputy Director and then Director of the NRC Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research.  In this two-year period, Dr. Budnitz was responsible for formulating and guiding the large NRC research program, that constituted over $200 million/year at that time.  His responsibilities included assuring that all major areas of reactor-safety research, waste-management research, and fuel-cycle-safety research necessary to serve the mission of NRC were adequately supported.  He earned a Ph.D. in experimental physics from Harvard in 1968.

 

The Methodology for Seismic PSA for Nuclear Facilities: Current Status and Future Developments

Abstract: Although the use of PSA methods for studying risks from large earthquakes at nuclear power plants began in the early 1980s, only in the last several years have these methods finally become widespread worldwide, including PSAs during shutdown conditions, Level 2 and Level 3 PSAs, and PSAs during the design phase. Because the bottom-line seismic-PSA risk numbers often have significant uncertainties due to uncertain knowledge of the frequencies of the seismic hazard itself, these PSA studies have sometimes developed an unfair reputation as being less useful than they really are. This talk will explore both the current status and the future prospects (which are bright) for significant further advances in the methodology. The emphasis will be on insights derived, their application in decision-making, and reductions in uncertainties through use by so many different practitioners.